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LEO Monthly View

A monthly roundup of curated insights and market commentary to help you stay informed and ahead.

Weekly Insights

Each week, we bring clarity to market shifts, investment themes, and what it all means for you.

The Great Bond Market Revolt

October 07, 2026

Over the last six weeks, we have seen bond yields rise sharply worldwide. Reading the news, you might think this is only a U.S. Treasury phenomenon, but sovereign bond yields have been rising in tandem worldwide. Rising bond yields mean falling bond prices. Long-dated Treasuries are down 10% this year, while the global equity market […]

Will AI Safety Concerns Move Markets?

October 07, 2026

Written by Miles Savitz Over the past few weeks, several frontier AI companies publicly cautioned that their own products could pose catastrophic risks. An Anthropic researcher resigned in a viral post accusing the labs of gambling with human lives, while Anthropic’s alignment lead estimated the odds of a global catastrophe at more than 10% within […]

Where is the Global Energy Crunch Hitting Hardest?

October 01, 2026

Global energy markets remain distorted by geopolitical disruptions, although the pressure is increasingly concentrated on specific fuels and transportation routes. Middle East supply constraints, Russian refinery disruptions, and bottlenecks across major shipping corridors have created an unusually complex physical market. Importantly, the system has avoided a more severe crude shortage partly through demand destruction rather […]

Why Is Washington Trying to Cap Long-Term Interest Rates?

September 21, 2026

Written by Jacob Friedland The 30-year government bond yield reached 5.35% this week, a level not seen since 2007, and the 10-year went back above 5%. Washington has two concrete reasons to stop this. Interest on the national debt cost 931 billion dollars in the first ten months of this fiscal year, up 11% from […]

Are the Headlines Doing Treasuries Justice?

September 15, 2026

Written by Cynthia Ng, CFA 10-year Treasury yields are close to 5%, yet investor confidence in bonds has rarely seemed lower. For an asset class that has traditionally served as both an income source and a ballast against equity volatility, that disconnect is striking. In our view, today’s headlines are obscuring the bigger picture. The […]

The AI Boom Continues

September 08, 2026

Markets continued to rally in August, with the All-Country World Index rising by 3%. Still, investors remain jittery, with sentiment measures declining during the month. Beyond concerns about the AI boom and the Strait of Hormuz, another risk has come to the forefront: bond yields. 30-year Treasury yields reached 5.26%, the highest level in 19 […]

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